Motivation
Currently, more than 70% of the ice-free land surface is used by humans, and about 50% is used very intensively - in the form of cropland, pastureland or commercial forest and, more recently, renewable energies such as solar and wind. Understanding the dynamics of land use change is critical to addressing global societal challenges such as food security, sustainable energy, climate change and biodiversity loss. Land use change has played an important role in greenhouse gas emissions in the past. It will continue to play an important role in mitigating climate change in the future by increasing carbon stocks in the soil and reducing greenhouse gas emissions from agriculture and deforestation. Similarly, land use is critical to the world's ability to feed a growing population, provide wood, raw materials and energy, and stem the loss of biodiversity caused by habitat destruction and fragmentation from land use. Furthermore, we still do not fully understand the actual impacts of land use on ecosystems. This makes it difficult to assess management practices and their impact on the provision of diverse ecosystem services, as well as to develop successful restoration strategies.
Methods
We use various data-driven methods and computer models at different spatial and temporal scales to assess land use changes and their environmental impacts in the past, present and future. This includes data and modeling methods to quantify land use changes and their impacts on the climate system, food security and nature.
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One of our main focuses is on mapping and evaluating the spatial and temporal dynamics of land use change. By combining several freely available data sources (remote sensing, model reconstructions and land use statistics), we have developed the HIstoric Land Dynamics Assessment + (HILDA+). HILDA+ provides a global map set that shows the annual changes in land use/land cover and management since 1960 until today at a spatial resolution of 1 km. Mapping the dynamics allows us to better understand the land management strategies of countries and regions (e.g. the EU), for example the interplay of land use expansion and intensification, which allows us to derive recommendations for decision-makers.
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We also focus on how global crop production strategies can be optimized to maximize food production and limit environmental degradation. For example, we are investigating how the efficiency of fertilizer use by the world's leading crop producers can be increased to mitigate the negative environmental impacts of such intensive forms of land use.
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Further, we are investigating the role that food technologies (greenhouses, vertical farming, gene editing, plant-based meat) can play in future global food security, as these technologies have the potential to save land for production and material inputs (e.g. fertilizers or pesticides) while increasing yields. We are developing tools for assessing global technical feasibility, efficiency and scalability of these technologies using a modified version of HILDA+ and developing food technology scenarios to assess the global potential of these technologies and their contribution to future food security.
Topics
- Changes in land cover/use and their dynamics in space and time
- Changes in land management and their spatial and temporal dynamics
- Land use intensification vs. expansion strategies
- Global agricultural trade and its impact on land use
- Land use policy and geopolitics and their impact on land use
- Testing new food technologies and their feasibility on a large scale (e.g. indoor farming (greenhouse and vertical farming), alternative protein production, genetic manipulation)
- Assessment of global food systems and food security
Further information can be found on Land Use Change & Climate Research Group.
Junior Research Group Leader
+49 8821 183-161
richard fuchs ∂does-not-exist.kit edu
www.imk-ifu.kit.edu/1845.php
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